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Joseph Joestar's avatar

I find it weird that Yarvin hasn’t re-evaluated his views given the total decline of Russia and China. Putin and Xi are arguably the closest things to monarchs we have today, and Russia and China are doing poorly precisely because they have dictators/monarchs. A liberal democratic Russia would never have engaged in a ridiculous, pyrrhic war in Ukraine if not for Putin’s megalomania. Similarly, China wouldn’t have needed to tank its economy and terrorize its own populace if Xi wasn’t so paranoid about losing control.

It’s not admirable to refuse to update your views in light of new evidence.

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The Noticer's avatar

Yarvin’s view is that the Ukraine war wouldn’t have happened if the US and liberal Western NGOs hadn’t spent billions to turn Ukraine into a shambolic, corrupt Bizarro-Russia directly on Russia’s borders rather than respect its historical sphere of influence.

Akin to China funding some Canadian Communist Party and putting a pro-China figurehead in Trudeau’s place after a “people’s revolution,” then expecting America not to consider them a threat.

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Joseph Joestar's avatar

I do think the American foreign policy establishment made some big mistakes. The fault lies primarily with Putin, but I think the neocon “we will forcibly make you a liberal democracy” policies have been disastrous.

I don’t think engaging with a nation that wants to engage with the west is bad, however. The bigger mistakes IMO were Iraq and Libya. This showed that the west would use force to destroy regimes it didn’t like, making the threat of a puppet state more severe. If the US hadn’t done so many stupid invasions, Ukraine engaging more with the west doesn’t look so sinister.

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Petey's avatar

It’s only weird if you think Yarvin has truth-seeking as a primary goal.

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משכיל בינה's avatar

Putin could have left Ukraine as a Western-run Russia parody. The evidence prior to 2021 suggests this would have looked more and more favourable to Russia as time went on. However, the fact is that the United States wanted this war so it could end Europe's reliance on Russian energy. If Putin hadn't taken the bait, the U.S. would have just upped the ante further. In any case, by far the biggest losers from this war are Ukraine and western Europe, so it hardly looks like a slam-dunk against monarchy being the superior system.

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Cornelius's avatar

Yarvin has addressed this argument in interviews, but not in his blog. The gist of it is that USA is a global hegemon that wields soft power and is effectively in a state of cold war with any non-democratic power. Due to the massive imbalance of resources, this conflict tends to hit the non-democratic powers hard. This is also why Yarvin wants USA specifically to become a monarchy, rather than some random nation he could move to.

He also makes the argument that both Russia and China pretend to be democracies in some sense and build their whole political formulas on this pretence, which means they must curate public opinion just like USA does.

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Byeongshin's avatar

A dictatorship is not the same as a monarchy (dictatorships are far more paranoid and unstable) and Putin/Xi has nowhere near as much power as Stalin/Mao did. If Putin or Xi did anything too far outside of the consensus of their respective oligarchies, they'd simply be retired. Russia's failwar is not the result of one man but had broad approval among its elite, same with China's "zero covid" idiocy (China can at least afford such mistakes, Russia not so much).

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Aug 11, 2023
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Ham's avatar

I agree regarding China but while Russia has seen a relatively similar GDP/capita improvement since Putin's ascension, it's more a matter of correlation than causation. Just take a quick gander:

https://oec.world/en/profile/country/rus

"Russia is a gas station masquerading as a country" is just about the only time John McCain was ever right about anything. Their growth has been overwhelmingly from oil sales, obviously buttressed by high global consumption and lower production in the West, and moreover, they sell the oil primarily to China, a country that actually uses it to make real improvements to their nation (and other nations around the world). Russia's land and natural resources are among the best in the world; the fact that they fall behind on so many metrics is proof of Putin's failures, and the worse failures of his predecessors aren't a justification either.

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Aug 21, 2023
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Ham's avatar

Soviet Russia was terrible by Western standards, but the legacies of Khrushchev and Brezhnev were obviously nowhere near Stalin or Mao. Post-Stalin USSR saw modest improvements in their economy and standard of living, enjoying a handful of technological achievements and relative stability. To the extent that Russia needed a strongman to tame the chaos of the liberalization process and centralize power, sure, Putin was more capable than Yeltsin and arguably a necessity, but he embraced oligarchs all the same and it's hard to see how Russia isn't a fundamentally corrupt nation. I'm not defending democracy, and it's fair to note that Russia's relatively flatten economy from 2008 on tracks with most of the non-American West. I'm defending the Chinese system which overcame far greater tragedies with weaker geopolitical strength, yet managed to produce many consecutive successes in leadership who oversaw the most miraculous rise to world power since America (or maybe briefly Argentina) in the late 1800s.

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Aug 10, 2023
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Joseph Joestar's avatar

Definitely agree. Naive monarchists seem to forget that absolute monarchy is a somewhat new form of monarchy, and that for long periods a king was more of a “first among equals” situation.

The Prighozin fiasco definitely frames Putin as the latter kind of monarch

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MarkS's avatar

"Naive monarchists" is an interesting phrase; is there any other kind?

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Joseph Joestar's avatar

I don’t think there are many monarchists over the age of 20. I can think of stronger arguments for monarchy than many present, but it’s telling that non-monarchists can frequently argue the case better than monarchists

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MarkS's avatar

Yarvin is a self-described monarchist, and I think he's over 20 ...

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The Noticer's avatar

How do you grok your endorsement of liberalism’s “policy” and “social science” with Yarvin’s point that the only way Bukele was able to put a dent in his country’s state of anarchy was by sidestepping the rules-based order? Ordering mass arrests, sidestepping courts, kicking out NGOs, and silencing journalists aren’t generally things neoliberal wonks consider part of the playbook, yet it was the only solution that could have worked.

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Richard Hanania's avatar

There’s a discussion to be had about how some third world countries can’t expect to have first world standards of criminal law. If Bukele declares himself dictator for life though that would be bad for the country in the long run. Ideally you would use his accomplishments to solidify popular support for tough on crime policies. The US in the 1950s didn’t have contemporary ideas of criminal rights while still being a liberal democracy. You don’t have to accept liberal framing that that’s contrary to liberalism.

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Curtis Yarvin's avatar

There’s a discussion to be had about how the only difference between third and first world countries is the presence of third or first world people.

It seems that if you were serious about having that discussion, you would be serious about this question…

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משכיל בינה's avatar

You have repeatedly cited Bukele as an example of why Hispanic immigration will not necessarily have a negative political impact on the U.S., therefore it is obviously a flaw in your position if you categorically denounce reject implementing the policies that Bukele actually implemented. In general, all of the countries you cite as example of successful multi-ethnic politics with large low IQ populations have policies you not only do not support, but unreservedly condemn the holders of. To take your latest example, 1950s America had extensive segregation by race enforced by both public and private force, but you don't endorse that, so what do you actually endorse?

Moving out to the larger issue. Many of your most important essays essentially reproduce ideas from Unqualified Reservations, but in certain respects improve on them by adding detail and sticking to the point. 'Why is Everything Liberal' is probably the best stat-based introduction to the concept of the Cathedral. 'Woke Institutions is just Civil Rights Law' is a great introduction to the concept that culture is downstream of power. 'Interracial Crime and Perspective' illustrates the point that media manipulates not by fabricating but determining what is part of a narrative, and what is just random stuff that happens. 'Liberals Read Conservatives Watch TV' is a good intro to the caste system of America.

The problem is that if you take these ideas seriously and pursue them, you conclude that meaningful reform in America is simply not possible. Everyone has noticed that you took a hard turn towards pro-establishment liberalism in the last year and half. Your stated reasons for this (e.g. Putin screwed up after 20 years of pretty smart statesmanship on a weak hand; Chinese are germophobes) do not seem convincing. In some cases, such as your advocacy of low IQ immigration, your arguments are palpably weak, in a way that is very obvious to everyone. The simplest explanation is that you realised that honesty meant giving up on your dreams of impact. This is Yarvin's point, and it appears to be correct, despite everything that is obviously wrong with his current output (Yo, Yarvin since I can't comment on your Substack, when am I getting my copy of Gray Mirror?).

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Aug 10, 2023
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Spencer's avatar

More like the spirit of Leftism. If other people are harmed by criminal “rights”, including those blessed “marginalized” so many lachrymose “liberals” weep over, it makes a sham of actual rights/liberty/welfare.

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Thomas L. Hutcheson's avatar

Why do you think it was "necessary" to kick out NGO, silence journalists? I think you need to distinguish actions that violate laws governing criminal prosecution and those that seek to consolidate power. I fear that Bukele will give crime control a bad name.

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Contarini's avatar

Good response to Yarvin. I enjoy him and find his historical excursions interesting, without seeing him as much of a guide to what should or could actually be done in the real, existing world. Despite the misleading term "monarchy" he often makes the much more viable case that we have on three occasions had a very strong executive in the USA who functioned within the broadly defined scope of Constitutional executive power -- Washington/Hamilton, Lincoln, FDR. That is historically accurate, as I read it. We are overdue for a house-cleaning at that level. A future reform of the USA along the lines that Hanania-Rufo and others of similar views hope for may ultimately require another very strong exercise of central power, for which we have these illuminating precedents. But the political momentum has to built up first. It does not drop out of the sky, as Yarvin would likely admit. Hopefully this hypothetical future reforming administration would respect (verbally anyway) the formal limits of the Constitution, because it is a good Constitution, and we should try to keep it, and when things settle down, it generally works well in ordinary times. In the meantime, incremental and actionable steps are good, and not to be despised because they are not total solutions at a single blow. Bring on the increments! Any movement in the opposite direction of the Revolution is a big win, because it takes away the veneer of inevitability.

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Thomas L. Hutcheson's avatar

You left out Wilson. Not much good beyond the income tax, but certainly an example of the exercise of power.

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Contarini's avatar

Not on the same scale. Much of what he did was rolled back. He was a proto-FDR who struck too early. The Big Three changed the country permanently.

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Siege's avatar

We have modern day kings. Bashar Al-Asad, Muammar Qadhaffi, Kim Jong-Un, Vladimir Putin, increasingly Xi Jingping. They do terribly. Yarvin's appeal to Aristotle's monarchy is a fantasy. In the modern world any "monarchy" will end in oligarchy because the modern nation state is too big for one man. Back in the days of the Greeks a 10% income tax would have been seen as tryanny, now 33% in the US is considered low and our GDP is light years ahead of ancient Greece. Monarchy or CEO leadership of a country is a terrible idea.

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BeLikeIke's avatar

Lee Quan Yu

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Siege's avatar

The exception that proves the rule.

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Aug 11, 2023
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Eric Zhang's avatar

Jiang and Hu were hardly monarchs. And the point that dictatorships often do stupid things is not lessened by the fact that a bunch of them did the same Very Stupid Thing- pissing off the worlds greatest superpower.

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Siege's avatar

The idea that Syria was a paradise before the civil war is laughable, if you knew any Syrian people you'd know he was desperately unpopular and the ones who like him today do so only because they dislike the opposition more than him.

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Oig's avatar

I like Yarvin's stuff but I don't get where he gets off accusing someone else of being disingenuous with how much he likes to play Straussian.

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Richard L. Johnson's avatar

What is needed is an old school Buckley // Vidal style series of podcasts hosted by Brian Chau with you and Yarvin.

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Keith's avatar

On the basis of readability, Richard Hanania is streets ahead of Yarvin. With Richard one thought naturally follows the last in a logical progression. With Yarvin there are all kinds of interruptions: admissions, denials, asides about the audience's possible reaction until I can no longer remember where any of this is going.

I also agree with Richard regarding his observation about the sweeping nature of many of Yarvin's claims. They are often so big I find it impossible to tell if they are right or wrong, partially right or partially wrong. Maybe he really is looking at the big picture but the details need filling in for us mere mortals.

My only criticism of Richard is that he speaks too fast for my 64-year-old brain. I feel he is talking to the kind of people who listen to podcasts at 1.5x the normal speed i.e. clever or young people.

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Christopher Chantrill's avatar

The correct response to Yarvin is "let's have lunch."

Of course, Yarvin can afford to be "controversial" because I suspect he has Eff You money.

BTW. Yarvin introduced me to Nazi jurist Carl Schmitt's notion that the political is the distinction between friend and enemy. Once you have read and understood that you can never go back to Kansas.

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Pawlus's avatar

Yarvin's arrogance is insufferable. You owe him no explanation.

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Tim Condon's avatar

What do you say to Yarvin’s argument that race communism’s emergence from civil rights law is proof that legal/legislative victories in the system are pyrrhic?

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name12345's avatar

Those are fair points but I would like to see you struggle a bit more with the criticism (though I'm no fan of Yarvin). The COVID lockdown and mandate regime was worldwide totalitarianism. I think it's tone deaf to write, "but look the conversatives did some things" into that headwind.

I don't think it's hyperbole for conservatives to fear that we are on the precipice of totalitarianism. I think Yarvin's relative success is a reflection of people not knowing where else to look.

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Thomas L. Hutcheson's avatar

NPI's were generally not well crafted as quasi-Pigou taxes on the externalities of virus transmission and they certainly did not spring form am attitude that gave much value to personal liberty. But "bring of totalitarianism?" Come on!

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name12345's avatar

"Non-essential" workers -- the majority of people -- by arbitrary decree and threat of violence, were imprisoned in their homes for many months or years, children's growth was heavily stunted, and rushed medical products were essentially forcefully injected all for a virus that mostly killed a small proportion of old and already sick people. If you do not see the totalitarian nature of what happened to us, nor the obvious potential of how these powers may be used in the future (as they were in China), then, in my opinion, that's some form of denial; charitably, naïveté.

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Person Online's avatar

The attempt at totalitarianism failed though. It was definitely scary while it was going on, but most of that garbage has gone away now.

What seems more likely now is a slide into third world dysfunction as institutions and social fabric continue to disintegrate.

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Person Online's avatar

>The other interesting difference that I think is worth mentioning is that Yarvin is “all in” on the right in ways that I am not. He once challenged his allies on abortion and was smacked down for it. Meanwhile, I’ve been arguing with the right on not only abortion rights, but surrogacy and euthanasia.<

Your defense of abortion is bad faith though. You refuse to actually engage the central question of who counts as a person, and why, instead resorting to lazy stereotypes about how pro life people are just stupid redneck bible thumpers. There's nothing admirable in that.

Yarvin is the only other person I bother to read much of at all, so this is a funny crossover. I'm not convinced that literal monarchy is a good option, but it does also seem to me that surely somehow, some way, we should be able to do better than the absolute clown show that we're currently stuck with.

>I see Yarvin thought as presenting “Revolution!” and “Monarchy!” as his trump cards to deal with every issue from affirmative action to entitlement spending to urban crime, which is fun, while I do boring stuff like think about rational policy responses that I think can work.<

I think the difference between these two approaches is how big your goal is. Yarvin wants an actual paradigm shift, which does require "revolution" or something else really extraordinary to happen. I do think it's possible to make minor changes "within the system," but only minor ones. For example, if you actually want entitlement spending on things like social security to go away, you probably can't do that within the existing framework. That's going to require some kind of big shake-up outside of the normal avenues of policymaking.

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PatrickB's avatar

I enjoyed Yarvin’s suggestion to clone and crown the homosexual and liberal-sympathetic Frederick of Prussia. Can’t foresee anyone having an issue with that 😝

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LV's avatar

You haven’t really explained which of your former views you are doing battle with, especially for the majority of us who didn’t read Richard Hoste. Sole example is view on female political participation. You don’t even explain how and why those views evolved.

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Isaac King's avatar

> Meanwhile, I’ve been arguing with the right on not only abortion rights, but surrogacy and euthanasia.

Why avoid the mention of the most obvious disagreement, vaccines?

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Zorost's avatar

Would have been nice to see at least an attempt at answering his questions.

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