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Why I'm Suing the Federal Government over PredictIt
On September 9, a group of investors trading on PredictIt and academics that study its data, along with its technology provider Aristotle International…
Sep 28, 2022
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Richard Hanania
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Why I'm Suing the Federal Government over PredictIt
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June 2022
Finally, Real Money
It's all about the base rate
Jun 21, 2022
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Richard Hanania
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Finally, Real Money
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March 2022
Why Forecasting War is Hard
The tire guy has become famous among those following the war in Ukraine closely for the following thread. He argued that the Russian convoy north of…
Mar 10, 2022
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Richard Hanania
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Why Forecasting War is Hard
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February 2022
Lessons from Forecasting the Ukraine War
Given that I’ve made quite a few predictions about the war in Ukraine and how it would unfold, it’s a good time look back on them and draw some lessons…
Feb 28, 2022
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Richard Hanania
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Lessons from Forecasting the Ukraine War
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January 2022
Fertility as the Final Boss in Chinese Development, and Richard Hanania Prediction Markets
Predictions, January 2022
Jan 13, 2022
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Richard Hanania
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Fertility as the Final Boss in Chinese Development, and Richard Hanania Prediction Markets
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September 2021
Futarchy: Robin Hanson on How Prediction Markets Can Take over the World
Transcript of interview
Sep 15, 2021
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Richard Hanania
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Futarchy: Robin Hanson on How Prediction Markets Can Take over the World
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May 2021
Predictions, Spring 2021
Intellectual honesty, and why Trump will be the 2024 nominee
May 12, 2021
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Richard Hanania
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Predictions, Spring 2021
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